Selected Publications (in English)
# equal contribution; * corresponding author(s)
Working Papers
Heterogeneous Responses to Carbon Pricing: Firm-Level Evidence from Beijing Emissions Trading Scheme, with Thomas Sterner, Ruijian Tian, Huajin Wang, and Xiliang Zhang. Revise & Resubmit at Journal of Environmental Economics and Management.
Selected Publications (in English)
Goulder, Lawrence#, Xianling Long#, Chenfei Qu#, and Da Zhang#. China’s Nationwide CO2 Emissions Trading System: A General Equilibrium Assessment. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, in press.
Zhang, Da, Valerie J. Karplus*. Management practices and manufacturing firm responses to a randomized energy audit. Nature Energy (2025), 10: 557–568.
Zhu, Ziheng, Da Zhang*, Xiaoye Zhang*, and Xiliang Zhang*, Integrated Modeling the Transition Pathway of China’s Power System. Energy & Environmental Science (2025), 18 (8): 3699-3717.
Long, Xianling, Nicolas Astier, Da Zhang. Is broader trading welfare improving for emission trading systems? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management (2025), 130: 103110.
Zhang, Da, Ziheng Zhu, Shi Chen, Chongyu Zhang, Xi Lu*, Xiliang Zhang, Xiaoye Zhang, and Michael R. Davidson*. Spatially Resolved Land and Grid Model for Carbon Neutrality in China. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2024), 121(10): e2306517121.
Zhang, Da#, Xiaodan Huang#, Junting Zhong, Lifeng Guo, Siyue Guo, Deying Wang, Changhong Miao, Xiliang Zhang*, Xiaoye Zhang*. A representative CO2 emissions pathway for China toward carbon neutrality under the Paris Agreement’s 2 ºC target. Advances in Climate Change Research (2023), 14(6): 941–951.
Zhang, Da*, Qingyi Wang, Shaojie Song, Simiao Chen, Mingwei Li, Lu Shen, Siqi Zheng, Bofeng Cai*, Shenhao Wang, Haotian Zheng*. Machine learning approaches reveal highly heterogeneous air quality co-benefits of the energy transition. iScience (2023), 26(9): 106647.
Zhang, Da, Hantang Peng, Lin Zhang*. Share of polluting input as a sufficient statistic for burden sharing. Energy Economics (2023), 121: 106647.
Zhao, Mengzhen#, Xiaodan Huang#, Tord Kjellstrom, Jason Kai Wei Lee, Matthias Otto, Xiliang Zhang, Marina Romanello, Da Zhang*, Wenjia Cai*. Labour productivity and economic impacts of carbon mitigation: A modelling study and benefit-cost analysis. The Lancet Planetary Health (2022), 6(12): e941–e948.
Li, Chenxing#, Yang Yu#, Andrew Chi-Chih Yao*, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang*. An authenticated and secure accounting system for international emissions trading. Climate Policy (2022), 22 (9-10): 1333–1342.
Qin, Shize#, Sheng Nie#, Yusheng Guan, Da Zhang*, Cheng Wang*, Xiliang Zhang. Forest emissions reduction assessment using airborne LiDAR for biomass estimation. Resources, Conservation & Recycling (2022), 181: 106224.
Zhao, Bin#, Jing Zhao#, Hao Zha, Ruolan Hu, Yalu Liu, Chengrui Liang, Hongrong Shi, Simiao Chen, Yue Guo, Da Zhang,* Kristin Aunan, Shaojun Zhang, Xiliang Zhang, Lan Xue, and Shuxiao Wang*. Health Benefits and Costs of Clean Heating Renovation: An Integrated Assessment in a Major Chinese City. Environmental Science and Technology (2021), 55, 14: 10046–10055.
He, Guannan, Jeremy Michalek, Qixin Chen, Soummya Kar, Da Zhang*, Jay Whitacre*. Utility-scale portable energy storage systems. Joule (2021), 5(2): 379–392.
Zhang, Da*, Jun Gao, Ding Tang, Xiaomeng Wu, Junye Shi, Jiangping Chen, Yinghong Peng, Shaojun Zhang*, Ye Wu. Switching on auxiliary devices in vehicular fuel efficiency tests can help cut CO2 emissions by millions of tons. One Earth (2021), 4: 135–145.
Karplus, Valerie J., Thomas Geissmann, Da Zhang. Institutional complexity, management practices, and firm productivity. World Development (2021), 142: 105386.
Qu, Chenfei, Xi Yang, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang*. Estimating health co-benefits of climate policies in China: An application of the regional emissions-air quality-climate-health (REACH) framework. Climate Change Economics (2020), 11(3): 2041004.
Zhang, Xiliang*, Andreas Löschel*, Joanna Lewis*, Da Zhang*, Jinyue Yan*. Emissions trading systems for global low carbon energy and economic transformation. Applied Energy (2020), 279: 115858.Guo, Hongye, Michael R. Davidson, Qixin Chen*, Da Zhang*, Nan Jiang, Qing Xia, Chongqing Kang, Xiliang Zhang. Power Market Reform in China: Motivations, Progress, and Recommendations. Energy Policy (2020), 145: 111717.
Karplus, Valerie J., Xingyao Shen, Da Zhang*. Herding cats: Firm non-compliance in China’s industrial energy efficiency program. The Energy Journal (2020), 41(4): 3531.
Filippini, Massimo, Thomas Geissmann, Valerie J. Karplus, Da Zhang. The productivity impacts of energy efficiency programs in developing countries: Evidence from iron and steel firms in China. China Economic Review (2020), 59: 101364.
Zhang, Da, Qin Zhang, Shaozhou Qi, Jinpeng Huang, Valerie J. Karplus*, Xiliang Zhang*. Integrity of firms’emissions reporting in China's early carbon markets. Nature Climate Change (2019), 9: 164–169.
Zhang, Da*, Justin Caron, Niven Winchester. Sectoral aggregation bias in the accounting of emissions embodied in trade and consumption. Journal of Industrial Ecology (2019), 23(2): 402–411.
Rausch, Sebastian, Da Zhang*. Capturing natural resource heterogeneity in top-down energy-economic equilibrium models. Energy Economics (2018), 74: 917–926.
Li, Mingwei#, Da Zhang# (co-first author), Chiao-Ting Li, Kathleen M. Mulvaney, Noelle E. Selin, Valerie J. Karplus. Air quality co-benefits of carbon pricing in China. Nature Climate Change (2018), 8: 398–403.
Davidson, Michael R. #, Da Zhang# (co-first author), Weiming Xiong, Xiliang Zhang*, Valerie J. Karplus*. Modelling the potential for wind energy integration on China’s coal-heavy electricity grid. Nature Energy (2016), 1: 16086 (Nature Energy Editors' picks from 2016).
Zhang, Da, Marco Springmann, Valerie J. Karplus. Equity and emissions trading in China. Climatic Change (2016), 134: 131–146.
Karplus, Valerie J., Sebastian Rausch, Da Zhang*. Energy caps: Alternative climate policy instruments for China? Energy Economics (2016), 56: 422–431.
Springmann, Marco, Da Zhang, Valerie J. Karplus. Consumption-Based Adjustment of China's Emissions-Intensity Targets: An Analysis of its Potential Economic Effects.
Environmental and Resource Economics (2015), 61: 615–640.
Zhang, Da, Valerie J. Karplus, Cyril Cassisa, Xiliang Zhang. Emissions Trading in China: Progress and Prospects. Energy Policy (2014), 75: 9–16.
Zhang, Da, Sebastian Rausch, Valerie J. Karplus, Xiliang Zhang. Quantifying regional economic impacts of CO2 intensity targets in China. Energy Economics (2013), 40: 687-701.
Other Peer-reviewed Publications
Peng, Hantang, Chenfei Qu, Valerie J. Karplus, Da Zhang*. The C-REM 4.0 model: A CGE model for provincial analysis of China's carbon neutrality target. Energy and Climate Management, 2024, 1(1): 55–69.
Liang, Heng, Hongyu Zhang, Xiliang Zhang, Junling Huang, Da Zhang*. Role of demand response in the decarbonisation of China's power system. Environmental Impact Assessment Review (2024), 104, 107313.
Zhang, Hongyu, Da Zhang*, Siyue Guo*, Xiliang Zhang. Impact of benchmark tightening design under output-based ETS on China's power sector. Energy (2024), 288, 129832.
Yu, Runxin, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang, Xiaodan Huang. Machine learning for data verification in emissions trading system. Resources, Conservation & Recycling (2023), 199, 107239.
Zhang, Hongyu, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang. The role of output-based emission trading system in the decarbonization of China's power sector. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (2023), 173 113080.
Wang, Xinhao, Lulin Xu, Qin Zhang, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang. Evaluating the data quality of continuous emissions monitoring systems in China. Journal of Environmental Management (2022), 314, 115081.
Davidson, Michael#, Valerie J. Karplus#, Da Zhang#, Xiliang Zhang#. Policies and institutions to support carbon neutrality in China by 2060. Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy (2021), 10(2): 7–24.
Siyue Guo, Yu Liu, Weichen Zhao, Jiaquan Li, Guangwen Hu, Hui Kong, Yifan Gu, Bang Xu, Xiaodan Huang, Yan Zheng, Shihan Zhang, Da Zhang, Lancui Liu, Xueting Peng, Yi-Ming Wei*, Xiliang Zhang*, Zuoren Nie*. Technological development pathway for carbon neutrality in China. Science Bulletin, 2023, 68(02),117-120.
Mulvaney, Kathleen M., Noelle E. Selin, Amanda Giang, Marilena Muntean, Chiao-Ting Li, Da Zhang, Hélène Angot, Colin P. Thackray, Valerie J. Karplus. Mercury benefits of climate policy in China: Addressing the Paris Agreement and the Minamata Convention simultaneously. Environmental Science and Technology (2020), 54, 3: 1326-1335.
Cai, Bofeng, Can Cui, Da Zhang, Libin Cao, Pengcheng Wu, Lingyun Pang, Jihong Zhang, Chunyan Dai. China city-level greenhouse gas emissions inventory in 2015 and uncertainty analysis. Applied Energy (2019), 253: 113579.
Li, Mingwei, Da Zhang, Chiao-Ting Li, N. E. Selin, Valerie Karplus. Co-benefits of China’s climate policy for air quality and human health in China and transboundary regions in 2030. Environmental Research Letters (2019), 14: 084006.
Yang, Yuanzhe, Hongyu Zhang, Weiming Xiong, Da Zhang*, Xiliang Zhang*. Regional power system modeling for evaluating renewable energy development and CO2 emissions reduction in China. Environmental Impact Assessment Review (2018), 73: 142-151.
Kwon, Sae Yun, Noelle E. Selin, Amanda Giang, Valerie J. Karplus, and D. Zhang. Present and future mercury concentrations in Chinese rice: Insights from modeling. Global Biogeochemical Cycles (2018), 32(3): 437-462.
Weng, Yuyan, Da Zhang*, Lanlan Lu, Xiliang Zhang*. A general equilibrium analysis of floor prices for China’s national carbon emissions trading system. Climate Policy (2018), 18(S1): 60-70.
Zhang, Xu, Xunmin Ou, Xi Yang, Tianyu Qi, Kyung-Min Nam, Da Zhang, Xiliang Zhang. Socioeconomic burden of air pollution in China: Province-level analysis based on energy economic model. Energy Economics (2017), 68: 478-489.
Zhang, Xiliang, Valerie J. Karplus, Tianyu Qi, Da Zhang, Jiankun He. Carbon emissions in China: How far can new efforts bend the curve? Energy Economics (2016), 54: 388–395.
Luo, Xiaohu, Justin Caron, Valerie J. Karplus, Da Zhang, Xiliang Zhang. Interprovincial Migration and the Stringency of Energy Policy in China. Energy Economics (2016), 58: 164-173.
Qi, Tianyu, Niven Winchester, Valerie J. Karplus, Da Zhang, Xiliang Zhang. An analysis of China's climate policy using the China-in-Global Energy Model. Economic Modelling (2016), 52, Part B: 650–660.
Zhu, Zhao, Da Zhang*, Peggy Mischke, Xiliang Zhang. Electricity generation costs of concentrated solar power technologies in China based on operational plants. Energy (2015), 89: 65–74.
Zhang, Da, Weiming Xiong, Chun Tang, Zhen Liu, Xiliang Zhang. Determining the appropriate amount of subsidies in wind power: The Integrated Renewable Power Planning (IRPP) model and its application in China. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments (2014), 6: 141-148.
Kishimoto, Paul, Da Zhang, Valerie J. Karplus. Modeling regional transportation demand in China and the impacts of a national carbon constraint. Journal of the Transportation Research Board (2014).
Zhang, Da, Qimin Chai, Xiliang Zhang, Jiankun He, Li Yue, Xiufen Dong, Shu Wu. Economical assessment of large-scale photovoltaic power development in China. Energy (2012), 40: 370-375.
Zhang, Da, Songlin Tang, Bao Lin, Zhen Liu, Xiliang Zhang. Co-benefit of polycrystalline large-scale photovoltaic power in China. Energy (2012), 41: 436-442.
He, Jiankun, Zhiwei Yu, Da Zhang. China's strategy for energy development and climate change mitigation. Energy Policy (2012), 53: 7–13.
Zhang, Da, Xiliang Zhang, Jiankun He, Qimin Chai. Offshore wind energy development in China: Current status and future perspective. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (2011), 15: 4673–4684.